Economic Update – February 21, 2023

THE WEEK ON WALL STREET

Growing concerns about further interest rate hikes, prompted by fresh economic data, reversed early-week gains and left stocks mixed for the week.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.13%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 fell 0.28%. The Nasdaq Composite index advanced 0.59% for the week. The MSCI EAFE index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, gained 0.52%..1,2,3

RATE CONCERNS WEIGH ON STOCKS

Stocks opened last week higher on investor hopes that a continued cooling in inflation might support a more dovish Fed. A higher-than-expected rise in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and strong retail sales in January initially did little to dent that enthusiasm, as stocks posted solid gains through Wednesday’s close.

But that optimism faded on Thursday as a surprising rise in producer prices and another decline in initial jobless claims triggered worries the Fed would stay the course for longer. Comments from two Fed officials supporting a more aggressive rate hike stance added to the unease, erasing much of the week’s gains. Stocks ended mixed on Friday, capping a choppy week.

INFLATION MODERATION PAUSES

Consumer prices climbed 0.5% in January, fueled by rising shelter costs and energy prices. The increase in the CPI was higher than the 0.1% rise in December and slightly above the consensus estimates of 0.4%. The year over year inflation number (6.4%) came in lower than December’s 12-month rise of 6.5%, making it the seventh consecutive month of declining year-over-year inflation.4

January’s product price report showed a surprise 0.7% increase, higher than the 0.4% rise expected by economists and the biggest jump since June. Year over year, producer prices rose 6.0%, a slight improvement from December’s number.5

TIP OF THE WEEK
You need motivation to start adopting better money habits, and if you craft a vision board, it can help remind you to stay on track with your financial goals.

THE WEEK AHEAD: KEY ECONOMIC DATA

Tuesday: Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) Flash. Existing Home Sales.

Wednesday: FOMC Minutes.

Thursday: Jobless Claims. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

Friday: New Home Sales. Consumer Sentiment.

Source: Econoday, February 17, 2022

The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.

THE WEEK AHEAD: COMPANIES REPORTING EARNINGS

Tuesday: Walmart, Inc. (WMT), The Home Depot, Inc. (HD), Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW).

Wednesday: eBay, Inc. (EBAY), The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX), Nvidia Corporation (NVDA), Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG).

Thursday: Block, Inc. (SQ), Pioneer Natural Resources Company (PXD).

Friday: EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG)..

Source: Zacks, February 17, 2022

Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.

CITATIONS:

1. The Wall Street Journal, February 17, 2023
2. The Wall Street Journal, February 17, 2023
3. The Wall Street Journal, February 17, 2023
4. The Wall Street Journal, February 14, 2023
5. CNBC, February 16, 2023

QUOTE OF THE WEEK
“Past failures are Guideposts for Future Success”
Author Unknown

THE WEEKY RIDDLE
Four grown men decided to play on the sidewalk for three hours. No one chided them for childish or immature behavior; many appreciated the noise they made. They even went home a bit richer. What were these men doing?

LAST WEEK’S RIDDLE:
They have no bodies, but you could say they have tails and heads.
What are they?
ANSWER: Coins.

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Jerry Slusiewicz may be reached at 949-219-0692 or 800-449-9501
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This Economic Update should not be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any public or private securities. Securities offered through Pacific Financial Planners. Please check with a Financial Advisor regarding your specific needs before making any investment decisions.

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Learn More About Mandee

In preparation for her continuing the family business and taking over full time once Dee retires, Mandee Carter, the Vice President and Associate Advisor of the Carter Financial Group, has been working alongside her father running the day-to-day business and learning the ropes, so to speak, since 2017.

Mandee received her BS in Psychology in 2016 and started her career in the Financial Industry in 2010 when she started helping in the office. After acquiring her degree, she came on full-time in March 2017 as Dee’s business partner and Main Associate Advisor helping clients navigate the intricacies of investing for retirement and overall successful financial planning.

In 2021, she was named an Elite Producer with American Equity amongst other accolades.

In Mandee’s spare time, she likes to go to the gym, spend time with her boyfriend, friends and family. She is an animal lover and rescuer. She has 2 German Shepherds that she rescued from the shelter 6 years ago. She still enjoys almost all things Psychology related and is constantly researching something. She enjoys meeting new client prospects and likes speaking with her current clients. She loves helping people.